CA: In San Francisco, Independents on the Rise, Greens at a Low

With the 20th anniversary of the California Green Party's founding coming up next week, a length article at the San Francisco Bay Guardian reflects of the state of the party in the Bay Area and the Golden State:

This should be a great time for the Green Party. Its namesake color is being cited by every corporation and politician who wants to get in good with the environmentally-minded public; voters in San Francisco are more independent than ever; and progressives have been increasingly losing the hope they placed on President Barack Obama.  But the Green Party of San Francisco — which once had an influence on city politics that was disproportionate to its membership numbers — has hit a nadir.  The number of Greens has steadily dwindled since its peak in 2003; the party closed its San Francisco office in November . . .

While a growing progressive movement within the Democratic Party has encouraged some Greens to defect, particularly among those with political ambitions, that doesn't seem to be the biggest factor. After all, the fastest growing political affiliation is "Decline to State" and San Francisco now has a higher percentage of these independent voters than any other California county: 29.3 percent, according to state figures.  [Emphasis added.]  Democratic Party registration in San Francisco stood at 56.7 percent in November, the second-highest percentage in the state after Alameda County, making this essentially a one-party town (at last count, there were 256,233 Democrats, 42,097 Republicans, and 8,776 Greens in SF) . . .
But Republicans could never have made a real bid for power in San Francisco, as Gonzalez did in his electrifying 2003 mayoral run, coming within 5 percentage points of beating Gavin Newsom, who outspent the insurgent campaign 6-1 and had almost the entire Democratic Party establishment behind him.  That race, and the failure of Democrats in Congress to avert the ill-fated invasion of Iraq, caused Green Party membership to swell, reaching its peak in San Francisco and statewide in November 2003. But it's been a steady downward slide since then, locally and statewide.

So now, as the Green Party of California prepares to mark its 20th anniversary next month in Berkeley, it's worth exploring what happened to the party and what it means for progressive people's movements at a time when they seem to be needed more than ever.