From
Public Policy Polling, a Democratic-leaning outfit:
We've found a lot of brutal poll numbers for Sarah Palin so far in 2011: down in South Dakota, down in South Carolina, down in Arizona, only up by 1 point in Texas, only up by 1 point in Nebraska to name a few. But this has to be the worst- independent voters say they would support Charlie Sheen over Palin for President by a 41/36 margin. Seriously. . . .
Sheen's unpopularity is pretty universal across party lines so it says something about the level of polarization in the country right now that Democrats would support him by a 44-24 margin for President over Palin and that Republicans would support him 37-28 over Obama. People may not have any respect for Sheen but they still think he'd be a better alternative than their opposing party's leading figure.
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With Palin on the outs with independents, it seems the Republicans have their work cut out for them deciding on who is going to go against Obama.
It should be a cake walk for Obama, which I think will not spur a greater Democratic turnout. So the Democrats might barely regain the House of Reps or barely fall short of regaining it with not much change in the Senate. I'm presuming here that the tea-party phenomenon is going to fade inevitably. But it's possible we'll see a Democratic version of such...yet they probably won't be as well funded or cohesive as the tea partiers.
Iow, our current dysfunctional state of politics isn't going to change much, unless we get more impetus going for strategic electoral reforms..., replacing the time/energy put into campaign finance reform in recent history.
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